Oracle Expected Wins

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For each game played, up to total n:

  • Take the pythagorean offense and defense -- pyOff(x) and pyDef(x) -- of each team
  • Adjusted values are calculated thus:
  • Determine an exponent (for initial tests, use 3.15)
  • Take the total number of points scored/allowed per game, to the given exponent
  • Divide it by the total number of points allowed/scored per game, to the given exponent
  • Plug these values into the pythagorean expectation formula
  • Using an exponent of 10.37 and the number of games played to that point
  • Call this pyWins

Oracle Expected Wins = mean of the array pyWins(n)

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